UA 1275 · CUN → LAX

departs 2:17 PM EST · arrives 5:14 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CUN

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

CUN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1275 · CUN → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?