Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1306 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

UA 1306 · TVC → DEN

departs 3:28 PM ET · arrives 4:27 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

TVC (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1306 · TVC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?