Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1348 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

UA 1348 · IAH → RNO

departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 11:26 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RNO?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

↓ Arrivals into RNO at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

RNO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1348 · IAH → RNO

Odds over time

How late will it get to RNO?