UA 1371 · IAH → SAT

departs 9:32 AM CT · arrives 10:42 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

SAT (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1371 · IAH → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?