UA 1424 · IAH → FLL

departs 2:52 PM CT · arrives 6:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.27 in

FLL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1424 · IAH → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?