UA 1442 · LGA → ORD

departs 2:32 PM ET · arrives 4:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.15 in

ORD (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1442 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?