UA 1469 · SFO → DEN

departs 9:01 AM PT · arrives 12:36 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1469 · SFO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?