UA 1560 · SJO → EWR

departs 12:49 PM CST · arrives 8:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SJO (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1560 · SJO → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?