Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1576SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1576 · TPA → IAD
departs 2:00 PM ET · arrives 4:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
26%chance · ±3 pts+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.