UA 1697 · IAH → LGA

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 11:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

LGA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1697 · IAH → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?