UA 1730 · SEA → LAX

departs 6:46 PM PT · arrives 9:44 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1730 · SEA → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?