Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1739 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

UA 1739 · EWR → MCO

departs 10:01 AM ET · arrives 12:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from EWR are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.05 in

MCO (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1739 · EWR → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?