UA 1759 · KOA → DEN

departs 8:00 PM HT · arrives 6:49 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

↓ KOA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1759 · KOA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?