Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1811SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
UA 1811 · ORD → MCO
departs 12:45 PM CT · arrives 4:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 116h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Sunday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±12 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.