UA 1890 · EWR → RDU

departs 7:15 AM ET · arrives 8:56 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at RDU that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.05 in

RDU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.50 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1890 · EWR → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?