Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1957 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

UA 1957 · IAH → BOS

departs 12:30 PM CT · arrives 5:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.17 in

BOS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1957 · IAH → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?