Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1970 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

UA 1970 · MCO → CLE

departs 3:05 PM ET · arrives 5:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

CLE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1970 · MCO → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?