tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1975 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1975 · EWR → RDU

departs 4:55 PM ET · arrives 6:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    69%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    8%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.