Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2036 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

UA 2036 · SJU → EWR

departs 6:45 PM AT · arrives 10:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at EWR that day

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SJU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

EWR (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2036 · SJU → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?