UA 214 · SAT → SFO

departs 7:48 AM CT · arrives 9:48 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.16 in

SFO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 214 · SAT → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?