tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2204 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2204 · EWR → IAH

departs 12:36 PM ET · arrives 3:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.