UA 2271 · TVC → ORD

took off 6:14 AM ET · landed 6:03 AM CT (scheduled 5:57 AM ET → 6:18 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from TVC are usually not late

Weather at each end

TVC (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2271 · TVC → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?