UA 2313 · SJO → SFO

departs 8:42 AM CST · arrives 2:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SJO (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SFO (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2313 · SJO → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?