UA 2341 · IAH → SEA

took off 8:25 PM CT · expected to land 10:19 PM PT (scheduled 8:16 PM CT → 11:10 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.03 in

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2341 · IAH → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?