Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2358 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

UA 2358 · IND → IAH

departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 8:28 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2358 · IND → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?