Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2393 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

UA 2393 · AUS → IAH

departs 7:10 AM CT · arrives 8:13 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2393 · AUS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?