UA 2395 · DEN → SAN

departs 8:57 PM MT · arrives 10:25 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
43%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2395 · DEN → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?