Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2420SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2420 · MSY → ORD
departs 6:30 AM CT · arrives 9:12 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.