Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2468 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

UA 2468 · EWR → MSY

departs 1:00 PM ET · arrives 3:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±6 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at EWR that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.13 in

MSY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2468 · EWR → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?