Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 246SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 246 · SFO → MSY
departs 12:08 PM PT · arrives 6:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±4 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.