UA 2489 · SDQ → EWR

departs 1:09 PM AST · arrives 5:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SDQ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2489 · SDQ → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?