Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2498SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2498 · SFO → IAH
departs 8:55 AM PT · arrives 3:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.