tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 254 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 254 · EWR → ORD

departs 6:15 PM ET · arrives 8:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
51% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 5.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.