Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2614 LANDED 8:40 AM MT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

UA 2614 · IAH → PHX

took off 8:25 AM CT · landed 8:40 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PHX that day

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2614 · IAH → PHX

Odds over time