UA 2628 · LAX → ACV

departs 10:35 AM PT · arrives 12:30 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ACV?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi forecast at ACV that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ACV (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2628 · LAX → ACV

Odds over time

How late will it get to ACV?