UA 2662 · MCO → EWR

departs 6:12 PM ET · arrives 9:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

EWR (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2662 · MCO → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?