Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2741 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

UA 2741 · LAX → LAS

departs 1:12 PM PT · arrives 2:34 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2741 · LAX → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?