Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2818SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2818 · SFO → TPA
departs 10:35 AM PT · arrives 6:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.