Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2828 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

UA 2828 · SAV → EWR

departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 8:17 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ SAV is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SAV are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.70 in

EWR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2828 · SAV → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?