Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2847 LANDED 6:28 AM CT, ~16 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

UA 2847 · SFO → ORD

took off 12:47 AM PT · landed 6:28 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2847 · SFO → ORD

Odds over time