UA 2857 · ORD → DEN

took off 11:19 AM CT · landed 12:32 PM MT (scheduled 10:57 AM CT → 12:31 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2857 · ORD → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?