tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2858 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

UA 2858 · TPA → EWR

departs 11:15 AM ET · arrives 2:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.6d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.