Schedule: FAA flight plans.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2861
IN THE AIR (OFF 6:58 AM PT, ETA 2:28 PM ET)
Today
UA 2861 · SFO → IAD
took off 6:58 AM PT · expected to land 2:28 PM ET (scheduled 6:42 AM PT → 2:47 PM ET)
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
<1%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
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-
-
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How late will it get to IAD?
LIVE
-
On time or early
100%
-
15–30 min late
<1%
-
30 min–1 hour late
0%
-
1–2 hours late
0%
-
Over 2 hours late
0%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.