Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 364 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

UA 364 · ATL → ORD

departs 10:05 AM ET · arrives 11:28 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.80 in

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 364 · ATL → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?