UA 365 · ORD → LAS

took off 4:59 PM CT · landed 6:16 PM PT (scheduled 4:55 PM CT → 6:59 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 365 · ORD → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?