Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3805 LANDED 3:58 AM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

UA 3805 · MLU → SWF

took off 12:35 AM CT · landed 3:58 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SWF more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at MLU that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MLU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

SWF (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3805 · MLU → SWF

Odds over time