UA 396 · BOS → IAH

departs 10:04 AM ET · arrives 1:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from BOS are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BOS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

IAH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 396 · BOS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?