UA 4200 · GSO → GSO

departs 12:04 PM ET · arrives 2:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GSO?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at GSO that day

↑ Arrivals into GSO at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ 12pm departures from GSO are usually not late

Weather at each end

GSO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.07 in

GSO (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 4200 · GSO → GSO

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSO?