UA 447 · DEN → BHM

departs 11:17 AM MT · arrives 3:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at BHM that day

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ BHM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 447 · DEN → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?