Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 646 LANDED 10:16 AM MT, ~18 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

UA 646 · EWR → SLC

took off 7:43 AM ET · landed 10:16 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

SLC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 646 · EWR → SLC

Odds over time